1989 · Bob O'Conner

O'Conner Formula: 1RM Calculator and Complete Guide

O'Conner's formula calculates 1RM as weight × (1 + reps × 0.025), a conservative linear model that assumes each repetition represents 2.5% of one-rep max. It is well-suited to beginners and safety-focused programming.

Mark Visic
NSCA-CSCS, USAW-L1

Strength Training Researcher

Published · Last reviewed · 6 min read

The O'Conner equation
1RM = weight × (1 + reps × 0.025)
Year
1989
Best for
1-12 reps
Accuracy
±6% across all rep ranges
Bias
underestimates

O'Conner formula calculator

Estimated 1RM
253 lb
via O'Conner

Single-formula calculator. For an averaged estimate across all 7 formulas, use the main calculator.

History and origin

Bob O'Conner, James Simmons, and Patrick O'Shea published their 1RM prediction formula in the 1989 textbook "Weight Training Today." The equation — 1RM = weight × (1 + reps × 0.025) — is a deliberately conservative linear model assuming each rep represents 2.5% of one-rep max (compared to Epley's 3.33%). O'Conner et al. designed the formula for general fitness contexts where users would use the resulting 1RM for programming percentages; a conservative estimate keeps training loads safer for inexperienced lifters who might overshoot with more aggressive predictions.

Original citation

O'Conner, B., Simmons, J., & O'Shea, P. (1989). Weight Training Today. St. Paul, MN: West Publishing.

When to use the O'Conner formula

Best for

Beginners, conservative programming, deloads

Limitation

May underestimate for elite athletes with high relative strength

Compared to other formulas

Compared to Epley, O'Conner produces estimates that are systematically 3-5% lower across all rep ranges. The two formulas use the same linear structure but different per-rep coefficients (Epley = 1/30 ≈ 3.33%, O'Conner = 0.025 = 2.5%). Compared to Lander, O'Conner is similarly conservative at low reps but doesn't drop off as steeply at high reps. Use O'Conner when programming for beginners or when erring on the side of safety matters.

How to use the O'Conner formula (step by step)

  1. Perform a heavy submaximal set. Perform a clean set of 2-10 reps to near-failure (RPE 8-9) on the lift you want to test. Record the weight and the rep count.
  2. Apply the O'Conner equation. 1RM = weight × (1 + reps × 0.025)
  3. Read the estimated 1RM. The output is your estimated 1RM. For programming, multiply by 0.9 to derive your Training Max — this absorbs daily strength variability and reduces overshoot risk.
  4. Cross-check against other formulas. Run the same numbers through every other formula and compare. The main calculator does this automatically using a trimmed mean.

Worked examples — O'Conner formula

Computed with the O'Conner formula. Compare these single-formula estimates against the trimmed-mean average from our main calculator.

O'Conner formula worked examples — weight × reps and estimated 1RM.
SetWeight × RepsO'Conner 1RM (lb)
Example 1135 lb × 12176 lb
Example 2185 lb × 8222 lb
Example 3225 lb × 5253 lb
Example 4315 lb × 3339 lb
Example 5405 lb × 2425 lb

How O'Conner compares to the other six formulas

The same submaximal set — 225 lb × 5 reps — produces different 1RM estimates depending on which formula you use. Here are all seven, side by side:

Cross-formula comparison: estimated 1RM for 225 lb × 5 reps across all seven formulas.
FormulaEstimated 1RMvs O'Conner
Epley263 lb+10 lb
Brzycki253 lb0 lb
Lombardi264 lb+11 lb
O'Connerthis page253 lb
Mayhew268 lb+15 lb
Wathan262 lb+9 lb
Lander256 lb+3 lb

See the full formula comparison page for accuracy data and decision-making guidance.

O'Conner reverse lookup: target 1RMs at common rep ranges

Working backward from a target 1RM, here's the working weight you would need to lift for various rep counts to predict that max via the O'Conner formula. Use this to set training targets for blocks aimed at hitting a specific number.

Target 1RM3 reps5 reps8 reps10 reps
200 lb186 lb178 lb167 lb160 lb
300 lb279 lb267 lb250 lb240 lb
400 lb372 lb356 lb333 lb320 lb
500 lb465 lb444 lb417 lb400 lb

Round to the nearest 5 lb when programming. For competition-style peaking, see the 5/3/1 calculator or RPE programming.

Validation research

The O'Conner formula has been evaluated in multiple peer-reviewed studies of 1RM prediction accuracy. Selected findings:

LeSuer et al. (1997)

Mayhew, Wathan, and Brzycki produced the smallest error across bench, squat, and deadlift. Most formulas underestimated 1RM as reps increased.

LeSuer, D.A., McCormick, J.H., Mayhew, J.L., Wasserstein, R.L., & Arnold, M.D. (1997). The accuracy of prediction equations for estimating 1-RM performance in the bench press, squat, and deadlift. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 11(4), 211-213.

Reynolds et al. (2006)

Standard error of estimate ranged from 5.6 to 7.9 kg across formulas; high reps (>10) reduced accuracy meaningfully.

Reynolds, J.M., Gordon, T.J., & Robergs, R.A. (2006). Prediction of one repetition maximum strength from multiple repetition maximum testing and anthropometry. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 20(3), 584-592.

Wood et al. (2002)

In older adults, most formulas overestimated 1RM by 5-15%; conservative choices (Lander, O'Conner) outperformed.

Wood, T.M., Maddalozzo, G.F., & Harter, R.A. (2002). Accuracy of seven equations for predicting 1-RM performance of apparently healthy, sedentary older adults. Measurement in Physical Education and Exercise Science, 6(2), 67-94.

O'Conner Formula FAQ

Further reading & authoritative sources

These external sources informed the content on this page. Authoritative references are a hallmark of trustworthy strength training information; we link directly so you can verify and explore further.

References

  1. Original publication: O'Conner, B., Simmons, J., & O'Shea, P. (1989). Weight Training Today. St. Paul, MN: West Publishing.
  2. LeSuer et al. (1997): LeSuer, D.A., McCormick, J.H., Mayhew, J.L., Wasserstein, R.L., & Arnold, M.D. (1997). The accuracy of prediction equations for estimating 1-RM performance in the bench press, squat, and deadlift. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 11(4), 211-213.
  3. Reynolds et al. (2006): Reynolds, J.M., Gordon, T.J., & Robergs, R.A. (2006). Prediction of one repetition maximum strength from multiple repetition maximum testing and anthropometry. Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, 20(3), 584-592.
  4. Wood et al. (2002): Wood, T.M., Maddalozzo, G.F., & Harter, R.A. (2002). Accuracy of seven equations for predicting 1-RM performance of apparently healthy, sedentary older adults. Measurement in Physical Education and Exercise Science, 6(2), 67-94.
  5. Wikipedia: One-repetition maximum — general reference for 1RM prediction equations.
  6. Essentials of Strength Training and Conditioning (NSCA, Human Kinetics) — NSCA CSCS textbook chapter on load assignment.